Cambodia’s time as the chair of Asean has left the regional bloc less
united than at any point in its 45-year history, experts said this
week. And as Cambodia serves out its final weeks as Asean chair, the
failure to address the concerns of regional members in their maritime
disputes in the South China Sea may be the lasting legacy of Phnom
Penh’s time at the helm of the 10-member bloc.
–News Analysis
“Cambodia’s foreign relations have been held hostage by its intimate
ties with China and this limits its own foreign policy choices, thus
causing a negative impact on its international image,” said Pavin
Chachavalpongpun, an associate professor at Kyoto University’s Center
for Southeast Asian Studies.
At the Asean summits in Phnom Penh in April and July, Cambodia was
widely accused of better representing the interests of Beijing in the
territorial dispute over the South China Sea than representing its
regional colleagues. As the chair of the bloc, experts said, Phnom Penh
should have spent more time acting as an independent adjudicator in the
contentious sea issue, where Cambodia has no territorial claim, rather
than appearing to favor Beijing’s position.
Signs of the difference in opinion were again on display during this
week’s Asean and East Asia summits when Kao Kim Hourn, secretary of
state for Cambodia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said that all 10
members had agreed to settle territorial disputes over islands in the
South China Sea through the so-called Asean-China framework. The
following day, Philippine President Benigno Aquino denied that claim,
clarifying that Manila had not signaled its agreement to such a
consensus. Vietnam also did not sign on to the so-called consensus, and
registered its own correction with Phnom Penh privately.
Jim Della-Giacoma, project director for the think tank International
Crisis Group in Southeast Asia, said that Cambodia’s inability to
facilitate a closing statement at the Asean foreign ministers meeting in
July would cast a long shadow over Cambodia’s chairmanship and over
whatever progress was actually achieved in the region over the past
year.
“The failure…to produce a customary communiqué for the first time in
Asean’s 45-year history was a public relations debacle that set back the
progress on the code of conduct [in the South China Sea] and will be
remembered for a long time after any other apparent achievements of the
last 12 months have probably been forgotten,” Mr. Della-Giacoma said in
an email.
The Code of Conduct, a legally binding framework that would stipulate
how Asean member states settle territorial disputes in the South China
Sea, has become one of the most pressing issues in the region. But Phnom
Penh, in line with Beijing’s wishes, has insisted on solving the
disputes between four of Asean’s members—the Philippines, Vietnam,
Malaysia and Brunei—and China bilaterally. On the other side of the
dispute, both the Philippines and Vietnam have voiced their preference
that Asean solve the dispute as a bloc and the two countries are not
opposed to “internationalizing” the issue.
In the international media, the fractures within Asean became the
focus of this week’s summit. A headline on a New York Times opinion
piece read “Indecision and Infighting: That’s the Asean Way.”
“At recent Asean gatherings, Cambodia has appeared to act as a kind of Chinese proxy,” the article said.
In an article for Al Jazeera titled “The end of the ‘ASEAN way,’”
long-time Philippines-based broadcast journalist Marga Ortigas pointed
out that until Cambodia’s Asean summits, most journalists joked that it
didn’t really matter if they missed an Asean meeting, as nothing really
happened anyway.
Not any longer though. Asean has changed, thanks to Cambodia, Ms. Ortigas wrote.
“[P]recisely because Cambodia, a nation with deep ties to China,
tried to ‘stifle’ that [South China Sea] issue that things didn’t quite
go as it had planned,” she wrote.
“And just like that, the subject that wasn’t supposed to be discussed
hijacked the discussions. Much of this happened behind closed doors,
but there was no way it was going to remain there …whether ASEAN liked
it or not.”
Carlyle Thayer, an expert on Southeast Asia who is a professor at the
University of New South Wales didn’t mince words when summing up
Cambodia’s past year: “It’s the most disastrous chairmanship Asean has
ever had.”
“By bringing attention to disunity, Cambodia has only brought
attention to its role as a client state of China,” Mr. Thayer said.
“Cambodia as chairman has created a rift within Asean,” said
independent political analyst Lao Mong Hay. “Cambodia should have played
a role as an impartial mediator.”
Spokesman for the Council of Ministers, Phay Siphan, presented a different view of the government’s chairmanship of Asean.
Cambodia had been successful in its efforts to provide a platform for
honest discussion between Asean members and the international delegates
in attendance this week, Mr. Siphan said.
“We opened a dialogue to maintain peace and stability in the South
China Sea. Cambodia tries to maintain a space for everyone to have a
dialogue together,” he said.
Regarding Cambodia’s “unique” relationship with China, Mr. Siphan
said that Cambodia’s role in Asean was not to represent China’s
interest, but rather to facilitate conversations between Beijing and the
Asean region.
Still, analysts say the billions of dollars in aid and investment
that have been pumped into Cambodia by China makes it hard for Prime
Minister Hun Sen to choose Asean’s interests over Beijing’s.
But, Cambodia may yet need its friends in Asean one day, who are less
overbearing than China, said Hal Hill, a professor of Southeast Asian
economies at Australian National University.
“The general story is that [Southeast Asia] is going to be a Chinese
sphere of influence and the countries in the region have to work within
that basic parameter,” Mr. Hill said.
“That’s where Asean is potentially very important for a country like
Cambodia, and why Cambodia can ill afford to upset its other members.
Asean is by far the best thing going for Cambodia, in terms of regional
allies.”
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