A Change of Guard

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Sunday 15 February 2009

Significant political change expected after King's return

KHMER INTELLIGENCE NEWS
15 February 2009

From "CIA agents" to "SRP agents" (2)

Over the last few weeks, Prime Minister Hun Sen has been accusing the opposition SRP of trying to split the ruling CPP. By making such an accusation, which is obviously groundless given the democratic opposition's little influence, if any, over the authoritarian and very disciplined ruling party, Hun Sen actually wants to warn his colleagues within the CPP against challenging his more and more absolute power. If any CPP members are not one hundred percent loyal to Hun Sen, they will be considered by the prime minister as "traitors" who plot with the opposition and play the role of "SRP agents" to destabilize their own party. Anti-Hun Sen CPP dissidents will then be crushed without mercy. Similarly, the Khmer Rouge used to accuse possible or imaginary dissidents under the Pol Pot regime of being "CIA agents".

Significant political change expected after King's return (2)

After a three-week lull, a significant political change associated with purges may take place following King Norodom Sihamoni's return in Cambodia toward the end of this month. The present lull is attributable to the fact that only the Monarch can sign off Royal Decrees promoting or demoting high-ranking government officials. Some moves in the pipeline have been shelved because Senate and CPP President Chea Sim is currently the acting head of state. See "No army or police reshuffle in the next three weeks" (KI News, 4 February 2009).

Reasons for Hun Sen's refusal to evoke 1991 Paris Agreements in conflict resolution (2)

Because month-long bilateral talks have not led to any concrete results while trying to peacefully solve border disputes with Thailand, an increasing number of voices are urging the Cambodian government to evoke the 1991 Paris Agreements as a basis for multilateral negotiations implying international guarantees. Read "1991 Paris Accords: Most appropriate basis for the resolution of conflict with Thailand" (KI News, 17 September 2008).

Even though his attitude is detrimental to Cambodia's national interests, Hun Sen refuses to consider evoking the UN-sponsored Paris Agreements for the following partisan reasons:

1- The first ever democratic elections held in Cambodia in 1993, under the control of the Blue Helmets, led to a resounding defeat for the CPP which contrasts with CPP subsequent controversial victories.

2- Besides provisions beneficial to Cambodia because they guarantee her territorial integrity, the 1991 Paris Agreements contain other significant provisions related to the respect for human, political and civil rights which Hun Sen does not want to hear about given his authoritarian rule.

Thaksin has been recently spotted in Cambodia (2)

Four days ago, a number of opposition National Assembly members asked Prime Minister Hun Sen to confirm the presence in Cambodia, in January and/or February 2009, of Thailand's ousted Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra. The presence of the foreign fugitive politician on Cambodian soil may have negative implications on relations with neighboring Thailand.

According to article 96 of the Constitution, Hun Sen must respond to the parliamentarians within seven days after receiving their letter.
Read the letter in Khmer at
http://tinyurl.com/arb59e

Read also "Thaksin's business interests in Cambodia are a touchy issue" (KI News, 17 September 2008) and "Thaksin prepares his comeback with the support of Hun Sen" (KI News, 19 August 2008).

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

អំណាច ដូចទឹកមូយថ្លុក បើមិនហូរ រលួយស្អុយទាល់រីង។

there can be no democracy when one family rule with friends and relative and then inter-married to create the ruling dynasty!

Anonymous said...

The country has democracy is depend on it's people's knowledge and willing to live in the free, fair, and justic condition and trying to change. Mostly, they say Hun Sen is a strong man but I think the people willing are stronger, if they are willing to change.