A Change of Guard

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Tuesday 12 April 2011

Thailand's grand plan after Preah Vihear

Anonymous said...
Hi, everybody!

I'm really confused about Thai stance on the Preah Vihear issue. Assume I have optimism of the Thai-Cambodian border solution:

They might use border conflict for their political purpose.

Both the Thai government and the Army might intend to disgrace themselves because they want to satisfy the yellow shirt protesters for the upcoming election. It is a good tactic. And, there might be three reasons behind it. First, it helps to maintain their power (king's and his military supporters). Second, it helps them to shift the political crisis in Bangkok to border conflict, inflaming the hearts of those nationalists to vote for the current government. Third, it triggers all Thais to unite and focus on border conflict. Those of Thais, mainly the red shirt group, who are willing to revolve and topple down the kingdom's current regime will be unable to do it now, hoping to reduce the spread of revolution that might occur soon.

After they got power fully and Thai political crisis is calmed down, they might stop invade us anymore.

Assume I have pessimism on Thai-Cambodian conflict.

First, Thais want to reduce the spread of communism in Asia and show off its military power against neighbors. It might be the game between the communism and the Western Democracy. As you can see, China now is very powerful and China currently plan to spread its sphere of political influence and empire on Cambodia, Lao, Vietnam, Thailand, and the most important one is Singapore.

The western allies might not want to see their allies (Thailand, Singapore, etc) get trapped by the spread of communism in South East Asia. Thailand might be a good ally to block the spread of communism. Thailand help to block the "route to SE" of China Master Plan. As you can see the secret talk between former prime minister Lee Kuan Yew of Singapore and one US envoy that Singapore didn't satisfy to take Lao, Vietnam, and Cambodia as the member of ASEAN because Singapore and Thailand view these three countries as communist allies.
Second, I really don't want to predict it. Thailand is trying to threaten Cambodia for the upcoming conflict of the sea boundary. We have to realize that if Thailand lose this case, Thailand will lose both sea boundary and some other areas that they currently occupied illegally on Cambodian land.
As you see in one piece of Koh Kong. It is unusual map. The seacoast is belong to Thailand, while the inner land (away from seacoast) belong to Cambodia like Phum Chamreuy, Phum Prek Kaoh. The line #318 from Het Lak, Khlong Yai, and Mai Rut is unusual.
As you see Thailand steal many islands from us such as Koh Kut, Koh Kradat, and 1/3 of Koh Chang.
These islands and some part should belong to Cambodia.
But, Thailand illegally made trick or some their thievery tactic to get those islands from us.
That's the reason. I believe after Preah Vihear's case has been done, there might another big issue. That's why in a Thai newspaper state, "doing exercise against any war with Cambodia" in the upcoming exercise in their in the SIAM continent.

It's a characteristic of a thief.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

no more stupid ideas, no matter what Thailand want to take our motherland, they never ever stop dream to have our land and preah vihear temple. the only way to stop their dream is strenghten our capability in relation to military, economy, and deplomacy.

Anonymous said...

No wonder Thailand get away with invading us. And ASEAN stay clear from us and does not help us!