A Change of Guard

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Tuesday, 21 August 2012

Cambodia is in a dilemma

Re: Text of Hun Sen's 5-hour speech on border issues, 9th August 2012 

Anonymous said....

Whether we choose to be on Vietnam's side or China's side, Cambodia is still in dangers.

1. Chinese usually takes care of their businesses and economy pretty much. Chinese usually like to invest in many unstable or corrupted countries like African countries, Cambodia, Cuba, North Korea and the likes. Wherever they see they can take the utmost benefits from, they will invest. Therefore, if Cambodia becomes stable in politics and economies, those Chinese companies/industries would not take much benefits from Cambodian workers and people. So, China might not want stability in Cambodia and, similarly, the border issue between Cambodia and Vietnam is not important to China.

2. Vietnam is an ally of the US. Vietnam needs the US to help protect its sovereignty against the mainland China. Besides, Vietnam always has ambitions to swallow Cambodian lands. So, if Cambodia joins the US like Vietnam does, Cambodian destiny might be like that of Palestine's. Similarly, the ways the US might solve border issue between Vietnam and Cambodia is very similar to the ways it used to solve problems between Palestines and Israel. Nothing changed much.


In my opinion, China today is an important superpower to protect Cambodian sovereignty. Cambodia must choose China. It is the right policy. But for the economy, Cambodia would not get much benefits from being an ally of China comparing to the US which has many strong industrial and economic allies in the world.
Therefore, only time will tell and only time that can decides the destiny of Cambodia.

Hopefully, China will control the Spratley Islands. The more China controls those islands, the more pressures fall on Vietnam's economy. Therefore, in the future, China will swallow Vietnam little by little, both economically and politically. Until that time, Cambodia might choose another ally.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi author!

Our Cambodian priority is to change the leader educated enough to be looked good in the international communities and the most important thing is to ensure our sovereignty.
In straight, for now, Cambodia stays with China and replace Hun Sen with whoever can build trusts internationally.

Peace ^^ :)

Anonymous said...

Agree with the articles above, except comparison Israel- Palestine. I believe the U.S will not give Hanoi same preferential treatments like Israeli because Israeli is European peoples and many Israeli are American Jews.

U.S will not help Cambodia get back lost islands, border areas but America will help keep Cambodia full independent and liberty if Cambodia is fully side with Uncle Sam. Right now Royal Cambodia Government is following ex king Noridom Sihanouk policies in the 50s, 60s and early 70's ONE FOOT IN AND ANOTHER FOOT OUT. This policies had a disaster for us, result almost 2 millions of our family deads.

In my opinion we must side with the U.S, right America seem weaker than PRC but America still world only military super power. America economy will not stay weak very long. She has a lot more powerful nation on her side ( European Union), Central America nations, many rich middle east countries. If confrontation between PRC and U. S. A, America will win economically or military.

Menguist said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...

Stop fooling around , stop playing politic games

Anonymous said...

Khmers need to learn not to kiss anybody's ass. Be independent! Chinese ass? Vietcong ass? Or American ass?

Anonymous said...

You can't put out a fire from a distance, all the way across the Pacific, from USA to Cambodia. China is the closest friend to Cambodia, no need for American help and we will not let Youns use Cambodia and get America involved bombing us again.