Monday, 23 July 2012
By Roger Mitton
Phnom Penh Post
It
is not often that a junior member of the Association of Southeast Asian
Nations kicks the rest of the group in the teeth and then walks off
waving a middle finger in the air.
But by a combination of
deceit, obstinacy and the unprecedented largesse of its Chinese
benefactor, that is what Cambodia did 10 days ago at the ASEAN
ministerial meeting in Phnom Penh.
And that may be an
understatement when all the facts are considered and the visceral
rancour with which the group’s exasperated members went at each other’s
throats is fully appreciated.
For sure, ASEAN is unlikely ever to be the same again, and its future existence, at least in its current form, is now debatable.
Global
headlines like “Cambodia: The Wrecker of ASEAN Unity” and others even
more censorious reflect the gravity of the situation.
As does the
way the region’s top diplomat, Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty
Natalegawa, jetted off afterwards on a desperate mission to salvage
ASEAN cohesion.
He went first to Manila and Hanoi, where
government leaders were enraged at Cambodia’s performance; then he went
on to Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand to try to calm their nerves.
On
Friday, thanks to Marty’s efforts alone, ASEAN was able to issue a
belated statement a week after the conference had ended – but it was one
that merely papered over the earlier disagreements.
Recall that
back in January, Prime Minister Hun Sen vowed that as this year’s ASEAN
chairman, Cambodia would be a neutral mediator in regional disputes such
as the South China Sea.
That was never going to be easy,
particularly as Beijing insists that it owns virtually the entire sea,
while four group members claim large parts of it.
In April, at
the first summit under its gavel, Cambodia ignored this earlier promise
and instead took Beijing’s side and tried to keep the South China Sea
issue off the agenda.
It worked up to a point. In public meetings it was not raised, but in private it was intensely discussed.
So,
as this column forecast, the topic was certain to be heatedly discussed
“at the ministerial meetings in July and the leaders’ summit in
November. Prepare for fireworks”.
The pyrotechnics duly came this
month when some analysts claimed China had again told its proxy to
sideline the South China Sea issue – actually, they alleged that it had
paid Cambodia to do this by means of large investments.
They noted that even the Peace Palace, where the ministerial conference was held, was funded by Beijing.
Thus,
like the 2009 repatriation of Uigher refugees and the return of
fugitive Frenchman Patrick Devillers this month, Cambodia had little
option but to obey its Chinese paymaster and stiff its ASEAN colleagues.
Four
of those colleagues, at the end of the conference, drafted a
132-paragraph closing communiqué which mentioned all the topics
discussed, including the maritime sovereignty disputes.
When that
draft was submitted to the chair, the Cambodians, in a breach of ASEAN
protocol, showed it to the Chinese, who said it was unacceptable unless
the South China Sea reference was removed.
So the Cambodians sent it back for amendment.
The
Philippines and Vietnam, supported by all other members except Laos and
Myanmar, refused to accept this Chinese-mandated decision to doctor
their group’s statement.
So for the first time in 45 years, no
communiqué was issued at the end of an ASEAN ministerial meeting –
although thanks to Marty, a face-saving statement was cobbled together a
week later.
All told, said Ernest Bower, Southeast Asia Programme director at the Centre for International and Strategic Studies in Washington: “This was a spectacular failure for the regional grouping.”
Added Don Emmerson, head of the Southeast Asia Forum
at California’s Stanford University: “An observer might conclude that
China has effectively hired the Cambodian government to do its bidding.”
In
doing so, it has caused the first major breach of the dyke of regional
autonomy and that may well render the creation of a planned ASEAN
Community in 2015 dead in the water – pun intended.
Contact our regional insider Roger at rogermitton@gmail.com
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